https://gnosly.com/feed/brazil/Business Intelligence Console and Prediction Algorithms3748@goescarlosCarlos Góes<p>In 2021, the Turkish prime minister came up with an unusual theory that lowering the central bank's interest rate would be necessary to end rampant inflation (then at 20%). He intervened in the central bank and fired directors. </p><p>The central bank lowered the reference interest rates. </p><p><strong>Three things happened</strong>: </p><p>(1) <strong>bank spreads rose</strong>, because the perception of risk increased—so much of the goal of lower interest rates didn't translate into cheaper credit, due to a disconnect between the rates; </p><p>(2) <strong>inflation skyrocketed</strong>, reaching more than 80% per year in 2022—even taking the pandemic into account, a disproportionate increase; </p><p>(3) <strong>in 2025</strong>, <strong>the government had to reverse the policy, and interest rates went above 50%</strong>. </p><p>It's not very different from the proposals emerging to forcibly lower interest rates in Brazil. </p><p>Intervening in the central bank and lowering the interest rate by printing money, which is likely to result in high inflation. </p><p>The effect on growth may be positive in the short term—but if it means an increase in risk and spreads, you end up with higher inflation without a boost to growth.</p>https://x.com/goescarlos/status/21170185605096944030.00202026-11-02T07:52:25.257068+00:002x.cominflationturkeybrazileconomy3639https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HWEpKSEXYAA0vCC?format=jpg&name=240x240Image2026-11-02T07:52:26.571262+00:003640https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HWEpKSBWsAEZ4Lh?format=jpg&name=240x240Image2026-11-02T07:52:26.647001+00:003519<p>The loser in Brazil’s presidential election appears to have fled to America</p>https://www.economist.com/the-americas/2026/10/28/flavio-bolsonaro-appears-to-have-fled-brazil0.00102026-10-28T07:43:11.003241+00:0029economist.combrazilusbolsonaro3373IMAGE/media/content/3519/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-28T07:43:56.716930+00:003452@elOrdenMundialEl Orden Mundial<p>- Brazil, Mexico, and Uruguay maintain left-wing governments</p><p>- Argentina, Chile, and Colombia are governed by the radical right</p><p>- Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela, and El Salvador maintain authoritarian regimes</p>https://x.com/elOrdenMundial/status/21147036345124373390.00202026-10-26T18:08:38.105957+00:002x.comlatinamericapoliticsbrazil3297https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HVjtjnzWkAAYP7S?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-26T18:08:38.479867+00:003440@haugejosteinJostein Hauge<p>Source: Jostein Hauge (X)</p>https://x.com/haugejostein/status/21146666304499222460.00102026-10-26T13:40:11.891815+00:002x.comenvironmentlulabrazil3283https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HVjOFNKWoAAMCsP?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-26T13:40:13.332475+00:003432@AdamJSchwarzAdam Schwarz<p>Source: AdamJSchwarz (X)</p>https://x.com/AdamJSchwarz/status/21145371486448070540.00102026-10-26T10:01:37.955017+00:002x.comelectionsbrazil3274https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HVhYA4JWYAAYiJv?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-26T10:01:39.501131+00:003406https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA<p>The report states that the order was issued around the scheduled 5 p.m. closing time. Some polling stations had already closed and locked their electronic voting machines, while others continued accepting votes until 7 p.m., potentially creating differences in voting access across regions. </p><p>Electoral lawyer Priscilla Sodré Pereira described the situation as serious. Electoral law professor Fernando Neisser said annulment could be possible if the result is close and evidence establishes that extended voting disproportionately benefited areas supporting one candidate. Any such outcome would depend on the evidence and a ruling by the relevant electoral authorities.</p>https://lnkd.in/p/dbyswTsz0.00202026-10-26T05:28:20.625245+00:001linkedin.combrazilpoliticselections3239https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQHW6whQoRvaFg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaF2qV_LIYAc-/0/1792992174298?e=1794441600&v=beta&t=maGOhacAMlU2R0k3tlk5uaVIXwmkeAiFp9SrAONtl2oView image2026-10-26T05:28:21.463542+00:003397<p>Right-wing challenger seeks to oust leftist president and bring Latin America’s largest country closer to Donald Trump</p>https://www.ft.com/content/29033fb9-2dc7-4af0-a2ff-55d1bdd5dece0.00202026-10-25T13:39:41.577375+00:0012ft.combrazillulabolsonaropoliticselections3233https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F155ed377-6efc-48cd-b5a8-6005b826afe4.jpg?source=next-home-page&dpr=2&width=280&fit=scale-downBolsonaro and Lula face off in knife-edge Brazil election2026-10-25T13:39:41.876945+00:003362@dgrcostaDiogo Costa<p>Source: Diogo Costa (X)</p>https://x.com/dgrcosta/status/21139535684409389410.00102026-10-25T05:37:08.111171+00:002x.combrazileconomy3200https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HVZFhOFXIAATh6k?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-25T05:37:09.337118+00:003035@el_paisEL PAÍS<p>Source: EL PAÍS (X)</p>https://x.com/el_pais/status/21114572080093757720.00502026-10-19T08:01:09.069782+00:002x.combolsonarometalulabrazil2873https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/2111271657327230976/11BVkCZb?format=jpg&name=small2026-10-19T08:01:09.453160+00:003030<p>Meta (META.O) employees acknowledged in internal communications that the Instagram accounts of Brazilian ​President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva were hindered by ‌restrictions during the country's election, newspaper Folha de S.Paulo reported on Friday, citing messages it reviewed. </p><p>The messages also acknowledged the platform recommended the profile ​of challenger Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, as well as his ​WhatsApp channel, according to the report. </p>https://www.reuters.com/world/americas/meta-employees-said-lulas-accounts-were-hindered-during-brazil-election-folha-2026-10-16/?ref=gnosly0.00502026-10-19T07:19:54.023707+00:006reuters.commetabrazilmanipulation2868IMAGE/media/content/3030/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-19T07:26:02.239639+00:002521@BullTheoryioBull Theory<p>Brazil, the world’s largest producer, is diverting more sugarcane towards ethanol because it is more profitable. </p><p>El Niño effect pressures global supply further.</p>https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/21085035817207154270.00502026-10-09T13:15:34.074904+00:002x.comsugarbrazil2349IMAGE/media/content/2521/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-09T13:17:11.207674+00:002384The Bolsonaro clan promises to align with Donald Trump, and to attack democratic institutionshttps://www.economist.com/leaders/2026/10/06/brazil-is-a-right-wing-country-now0.00502026-10-07T06:22:00.686270+00:0029economist.combolsonarodonald-trumpbrazil2196https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1424,quality=80,format=auto/content-assets/images/20261010_LDP001.jpgSupporters of Brazil's right-wing presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro celebrate the results of the presidential election2026-10-07T06:22:01.282203+00:002295<p>Brazil’s markets surge as investors bet on Bolsonaro win. Right-winger seen as more likely than current president Lula to enact quick spending cuts</p>https://www.ft.com/content/47965ed4-5c40-4c91-ab1e-418aa75bb42a0.00502026-10-05T15:01:46.738746+00:0012ft.combolsonarolulabrazil2117https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2Fb0a35cf9-da51-4979-bec5-a81647a42aa5.png?source=next-home-page&dpr=2&width=280&fit=scale-downBrazil’s markets surge as investors bet on Bolsonaro win2026-10-05T15:01:47.810993+00:002118IMAGE/media/content/2295/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-05T15:03:04.348281+00:002278Analysts say Flavio Bolsonaro is projected to win the run-off vote on October 25 and become Brazil’s next president.https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/5/bolsonaro-favourite-to-win-what-brazils-first-round-of-election-tells-us0.00402026-10-05T12:53:24.312882+00:005aljazeera.comelectionsbrazilexplainer2100https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/getty_6ac389240e-1791199524.jpgFlavio Bolsonaro2026-10-05T12:53:25.382769+00:002249<p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Brazil’s closely watched </span><a href="https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/4/brazil-elections-live-voters-head-to-polls-for-close-presidential-race" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank" style="color: rgb(0, 89, 165); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">presidential election</a><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);"> is heading to a second round between leftist President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, prolonging a deeply polarised race with major implications for the country and the wider region.</span></p><p><span style="color: rgb(0, 0, 0); background-color: rgb(255, 255, 0);">Brazil’s electoral court confirmed on Sunday that the two candidates will advance to a run-off on October 25 after neither won the majority needed to secure the presidency outright, with Bolsonaro leading at 55.8 million votes to Lula’s almost 53.2 million.</span></p>https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/5/brazils-presidential-race-three-key-takeaways-from-the-first-round0.00502026-10-05T06:38:12.936933+00:005aljazeera.comelectionpoliticsbrazil2072https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/afp_6ac2f409b700-1791161353.jpgThis combination of pictures created on October 4, 2026, shows Brazil's President and re-election candidate for the Workers' Party (PT) Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva (R) speaks to the media after casting his vote during the presidential election at a polling station in Sao Bernardo do Campo, state of Sao Paulo, Brazil, on October 4, 2026; and Brazil's right-wing senator and presidential candidate for the Liberal Party (PL) Flavio Bolsonaro gives thumbs up in front of Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial candidate Douglas Ruas (C, back), as he leaves a polling station after voting during the presidential election in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, on October 4, 2026.2026-10-05T06:38:13.451313+00:002212<p>Millions of Brazilians are voting in a general election on Sunday that will choose the country’s president against a backdrop of corruption scandals, deep political polarization and growing voter fatigue, with two familiar political camps once again dominating the race. The frontrunners are the country’s leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and right-wing Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, son of imprisoned former President Jair Bolsonaro, who are championing different paths for Brazil. “It’s two competing visions of what the country should look like and what Latin America should look like,” Brian Winter, editor-in-chief of Americas Quarterly and vice president of policy at Americas Society/Council of the Americas, told CNN.</p>https://edition.cnn.com/2026/10/04/americas/brazil-president-elections-2026-latam-intl0.00502026-10-04T18:35:09.576788+00:0022cnn.combrazil2034https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/gettyimages-2293606553.jpg?c=original&q=w_1041,c_fillAn inflatable in the likeness of US President Donald Trump during an Independence Day campaign rally supporting Flavio Bolsonaro, Brazilian presidential candidate, not pictured, in Sao Paulo, Brazil, on Monday, Sept. 7.2026-10-04T18:35:10.812888+00:002207Chloe TaylorBrazil votes in high-stakes election as U.S.-China rivalry and debt loom largehttps://www.cnbc.com/2026/10/02/brazil-election-bolsonaro-lula-china-trump.html0.00402026-10-04T14:50:10.850918+00:0026cnbc.comthomas-da-graca-barlowchinabrazilu.s.chloe-taylor2030https://image.cnbcfm.com/api/v1/image/108369227-1790676623367-gettyimages-2296657759-AFP_C9FF2FP.jpeg?v=1790676649&w=240&h=180&vtcrop=yBrazil votes in high-stakes election as U.S.-China rivalry and debt loom large2026-10-04T14:50:11.117729+00:002164@xruiztruXavi Ruiz<p>Brazil alone accounts for around half of South America’s total GDP, more than all the rest of the continent’s economies combined.</p>https://x.com/xruiztru/status/21060382178457355200.00402026-10-03T07:41:06.281023+00:002x.comgdpbrazilsouthamerica1967https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTomlJzWAAA_06I?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-03T07:41:07.325827+00:00