https://gnosly.com/feed/climate/Business Intelligence Console and Prediction Algorithms2928@DoctorViveDr. Genevieve Guenther (she/they)<p>Source: DoctorVive (X), quoting BBC</p>https://x.com/DoctorVive/status/21110677728976162530.00502026-10-16T20:18:31.731992+00:002x.comukdroughtclimate2761https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUwE7c_WgAEtu9a?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-16T20:18:32.209752+00:002916@ChemsMeteoChems Météo<p>Source: Chems Météo (X)</p>https://x.com/ChemsMeteo/status/21107217928013908070.00602026-10-16T09:23:28.732178+00:002x.comclimateweather2736https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUrKSEJW8AALFTw?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-16T09:23:30.562499+00:002908@cnniCNN International<p>Source: CNN</p>https://x.com/cnni/status/21107135659255726390.00502026-10-16T07:34:46.278749+00:002x.comclimateglaciers2728https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUrCzLmW8AAHorT?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-16T07:34:47.913153+00:002817@BenNollWeatherBen Noll<p>That represents an enormous reservoir of anomalous heat in the equatorial Pacific, significantly raising the potential for extreme weather in the U.S. this winter.</p>https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/21100227620227731160.00402026-10-13T17:07:01.239827+00:002x.comweatherelninoclimate2632https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUgFGY_bYAABiRU?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-13T17:07:02.387077+00:002749@CopernicusEUCopernicus EU<p>Source: CopernicusEU (X)</p>https://x.com/CopernicusEU/status/21095937903065664630.00502026-10-12T14:13:32.615290+00:002x.comclimatecopernicuseueu2565https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUbIGXwXEAA5hOI?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-12T14:13:32.932078+00:002717@AntarcticReportThe Antarctic Report<p>Scientists say a strong polar vortex has kept the stratosphere exceptionally cold, accelerating ozone depletion. </p><p>Researchers stress this does not halt long-term ozone recovery, but shows how variable the process remains.</p>https://x.com/AntarcticReport/status/21092197656131177000.00502026-10-12T06:29:09.906853+00:002x.comantarcticaozoneholeclimate2535https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUVzxl5aQAECIV-?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-12T06:29:10.161918+00:002716@hendratno64Hendratno<p>Source: Hendratno (X)</p>https://x.com/hendratno64/status/21090741225379268360.00502026-10-12T06:24:41.195407+00:002x.comclimateelnino2534IMAGE/media/content/2716/20261012-elnino.jpg20261012-elnino.jpgjpg2026-10-12T06:26:24.157369+00:002674@erreerreciRenato R. Colucci<p>What remains, for a little while longer What was there, not so long ago Over 12 yr, I’ve watched the ice disappear and temperatures rise inside this cave at 2,300 m in the Julian Alps </p>https://x.com/erreerreci/status/21089124970845635830.00502026-10-11T09:12:37.941984+00:002x.comclimate2494https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HURcQroWcAA2e4U?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-11T09:12:38.213114+00:002665@SergeZakaDr. Serge Zaka (Dr. Zarge)<p>The famous "we already went through this in 1976" is now nothing more than a vague myth. </p><p>In 50 years, the severity of droughts has tripled in France, mainly due to summer rainfall deficits and the increase in evapotranspiration caused by rising temperatures. </p><p>And this is particularly alarming, because this phenomenon is self-reinforcing: drier soil heats up more under the effect of solar radiation. The reduction in evaporation decreases the natural cooling of the soil, thereby promoting a rise in surface temperatures and an increased transfer of heat to the atmosphere. This warming intensifies the evaporative demand of the air, accelerates the drying out of vegetation and soils that are still moist, and thus worsens the drought. </p>https://x.com/SergeZaka/status/21088538898144627770.00502026-10-11T08:17:57.060202+00:002x.comfrancedroughtclimate2484https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUQg4yTWIAAfxES?format=png&name=smallImage2026-10-11T08:17:57.510154+00:002651@hausfathZeke Hausfather<p>The October runs for dynamical El Niño models are now all out, and its a mixed bag. Some revise the event downward, some upward, but on average its still expected to peak at ~4C, albeit with the peak more likely to occur in December than November:</p>https://x.com/hausfath/status/21090035870910587040.00502026-10-11T06:49:46.993602+00:002x.comclimateweatherelnino2471https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUSvlfxXQAAx2cO?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-11T06:49:48.158783+00:002605<p>Marsala on the island’s west coast was badly affected after a powerful storm approached from the Mediterranean. </p><p>Two tornadoes have struck the coastal town of Marsala in western Sicily, injuring dozens of people, damaging buildings including a school, and overturning cars. </p><p>Dozens of people were reported injured, with at least 11 taken to hospital after being struck by flying debris and shattered glass. Among the most seriously injured was a 70-year-old man admitted to Mazara del Vallo hospital in a critical condition with several fractures.</p>https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/oct/10/tornado-hit-marsala-sicily-injuries-damage0.00502026-10-10T11:53:58.389295+00:0027theguardian.comsicilyweatherclimate2424https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/48f2e548bf319a02318e1cb652cfa80cd0539066/0_0_1920_1080/1920.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none&crop=noneA man looks at a tornado-collapsed building and rubble behind caution tape in Marsala, Sicily2026-10-10T11:54:00.034377+00:002602@NOAANCEINOAA NCEI<p>Source: NOAA NCEI (X)</p>https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/news/global-climate-202609?ref=gnosly0.00602026-10-10T10:18:32.467699+00:002x.comtemperatureclimateglobal2421https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUMpPBmXYAA0oDD?format=jpg&name=smallMap of the global temperature percentiles for September 2026 with warmer areas in gradients of red and orange, cooler areas in gradients of blue and gray indicates that it tied with more than 10% of the record.2026-10-10T10:18:33.024422+00:002481@CarbonBriefCarbon Brief<p>Source: CarbonBrief (X)</p>https://x.com/CarbonBrief/status/21080613292568414550.00502026-10-08T16:16:35.706302+00:002x.comweatherclimateworld2294https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUFWm54XUAEdE7n?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-08T16:16:36.316097+00:002451@violin4allKim M.<p>Source: Kim M. (X)</p>https://x.com/violin4all/status/21078575211719148810.00702026-10-08T07:40:59.950727+00:002x.comcomparisonrecord-tsunamiworld-structuresclimate2262https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUCc6P8XEAAoxno?format=png&name=smallImage2026-10-08T07:41:01.227338+00:002402@ECOWARRIORSSGO GREEN<p>Source: ECOWARRIORSS (X)</p>https://x.com/ECOWARRIORSS/status/21074346015178919440.00702026-10-07T10:03:24.859586+00:002x.comforestsusclimate2213https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/2107232059055816705/OEp6wfLo?format=jpg&name=small2026-10-07T10:03:25.871214+00:002400@PCarterClimatePeter D Carter<p>Big El Niño effect is showing up, though September SST was accelerating before 2026.</p>https://x.com/PCarterClimate/status/21076834654079836600.00502026-10-07T09:46:57.335691+00:002x.comoceanglobalwarmingclimate2212IMAGE/media/content/2400/20261007-2026-sep-oceans-teperature.jpg20261007-2026-sep-oceans-teperature.jpgjpg2026-10-07T09:48:22.549363+00:002398@MarkCranfield_Risk Expert tells the Truth about ClimateWe're going to experience two 0.3C El Ninos just 3 years apart. That's an increase from 1.2C global to 1.8C in 5 years, setting up the prospect of reaching 2C whenever the next El Nino arrives. With *this* El Nino, a staggering increase in the average on land from 1.8C to 2.7Chttps://x.com/MarkCranfield_/status/21061459952142663780.004023972026-10-07T08:17:50.301859+00:002x.comclimatetemperatureel-nino2210https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTqInkHWEAA6zEi?format=jpg&name=240x240Image2026-10-07T08:17:50.804618+00:002397@MarkCranfield_Risk Expert tells the Truth about ClimateTry to get your head around this. Prior to the 2023/24 El Nino: 1.2C global + 50% = 1.8C on land 2026/27 El Nino onwards: 1.8C global + 50% = 2.7C on land That's an increase of 0.9C on land in 5 years. Expressed another way, it's a 50% increase in the temperature anomaly. Practically overnight. No need to wait until 2100 to experience 2.7C. It's coming next year to the land surface.https://x.com/MarkCranfield_/status/21074115234464526590.004023982026-10-07T08:17:49.370005+00:002x.comclimateglobalel-nino2209https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT8HmtKXcAIuthg?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T08:17:50.192649+00:002387@JuanBorderaJuan Bordera<p>Source: JuanBordera (X)</p>https://x.com/JuanBordera/status/21075445476687589240.00502026-10-07T06:51:22.522570+00:002x.comtemperatureclimateelnino2199https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT-AP3XWcAAWH8B?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T06:51:23.014382+00:002367@livesciencelivescience.comEarth's energy balance is rising much faster than scientists predicted, and we have no idea whyhttps://x.com/home0.004523662026-10-07T04:30:03.571079+00:002x.comscienceclimateenergy2185https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/2105923148017225729/goR0Booo?format=jpg&name=small2026-10-07T04:30:04.027891+00:002366@pmagnClimate WatcherFor reasons still unknown, Earth's energy imbalance is rising much faster than models can account for. Earth's energy imbalance is rising much faster than scientists expected — and now researchers worry they might lose the means to figure out whyhttps://x.com/pmagn/status/21075822656101007660.004523672026-10-07T04:30:03.174972+00:002x.comscienceclimateenergy2364@hausfathZeke HausfatherThis year's El Niño continues its climb into uncharted waters; Niño3.4 region anomalies are now at a 3.4C above normal (how fitting!), higher than any prior El Niño event on record. September monthly Niño3.4 anomalies also set a record at 2.9C (beating 2015 and 1877's 2.75C).https://x.com/hausfath/status/21076001088292372540.00502026-10-07T04:27:41.533460+00:002x.comweatherclimateel-niño2183https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT-zIS0XcAACpkS?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T04:27:42.061319+00:002302@tylerblack32Tyler Black, MDIn the past 50 years, we have seen phenomenal global warming. Here, I used the average global temperature from 1970 to 1979 as the "zero point" (I was born in 1977, which is why i selected the decade. But hey, sure, lets worry about other things. (HadCRUT5 source)https://x.com/tylerblack32/status/21070986179118943630.00402026-10-05T16:01:12.907115+00:002x.comglobal-warmingclimatetemperature2124https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT3qQ1ybcAAD6Zw?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-05T16:01:13.205998+00:002220@US_StormwatchColin McCarthy<p>Just astonishing.</p>https://x.com/US_Stormwatch/status/21065391113394344250.00502026-10-04T18:51:41.423627+00:002x.comweatherclimateelnino2040IMAGE/media/content/2220/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-04T18:52:56.959111+00:002178@BenNollWeatherBen Noll<p>What stands out to you?</p>https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/21064064197551109050.00402026-10-04T04:45:26.790194+00:002x.comweatherclimateel-niño1981https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTstEXsaAAEy2rV?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-04T04:45:28.091204+00:002160@ProfBillMcGuireBill McGuire<p>Now expected to peak at an extraordinary 4.2C in December</p>https://x.com/ProfBillMcGuire/status/21061289241326961310.00402026-10-03T07:13:46.019937+00:002x.comclimatetemperaturenews1963https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTp3uajWUAAwN0b?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-03T07:13:47.135380+00:002156@ZLabeZack Labe<p>🚨 This is pretty wild... the average global sea surface temperature (outside of the polar regions) is still above 70°F (21.1°C) through the end of September. This is significantly above the prior record. </p>https://x.com/ZLabe/status/21059843443553937780.00602026-10-03T06:25:39.620801+00:002x.comseaclimatetemperature1959https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTn1ck9WgAEC7oR?format=jpg&name=smallLine graph time series of daily global mean sea surface temperatures from 1982 to 2026. This year is currently at record high for this time of year. Data is from NOAA OISSTv2.1, and the graphic is created by Climate Central at https://www.climatecentral.org/climate-briefings.2026-10-03T06:25:40.630397+00:002112@UNDRRUNDRR<p>Peruvian fisherfolk named El Niño after warm seas emptied anchovy nets. Forecasts now give 6–12 months' warning: Southern Africa– drought risk Indonesia– less rain peatland fires India– weaker monsoon Ecuador– rainfall threatens cocoa </p>https://x.com/UNDRR/status/21056290640189484100.00502026-10-02T07:10:12.205628+00:002x.comwarningfisherfolkclimate1919https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTiyebCWkAEHEPb?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-02T07:10:13.012966+00:001454@RyanWeatherRyan MaueStrongest El Niño in world history Global temperatures at unprecedented levels Category 5 Hurricanes spawning everywhere Floods, droughts, heat domes, bomb Nor'easters "Ominous and foreboding" Omens and harbingers of our "climate fueled" present and futurehttps://x.com/RyanWeather/status/21023921713202094490.00702026-09-23T09:00:37.075868+00:002x.comweatherclimateel-niño1277https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/2705.svg✅2026-09-23T09:00:37.480789+00:001278https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/25b6.svg▶️2026-09-23T09:00:37.507707+00:001279https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f30e.svg🌎2026-09-23T09:00:37.531888+00:001280https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f4c8.svg📈2026-09-23T09:00:37.565958+00:001431@ExtremeMeteoExtrême MétéoTranslated from French Absolutely no cooler period is in sight; early October could be quite hot given the location of the high- and low-pressure centers. This is very worrying!https://x.com/ExtremeMeteo/status/21023239815505678560.00502026-09-23T07:00:06.325083+00:002x.comweatherclimateheat1392@hausfathZeke HausfatherI have a new piece out in Nature today on the record-breaking 2026/2027 El Niño, what impacts we should expect, and how governments can prepare. The Niño3.4 region is currently running more than 1C hotter than any prior event on record, and we remain months away from the peak.https://x.com/hausfath/status/21024529454008119550.00402026-09-23T05:13:29.577036+00:002x.comnatureclimateel-niño1220https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS1pz1VXAAAe0pD?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-23T05:13:29.970263+00:001358@WeatherProfJeff BerardelliIt’s official, the 2026 El Niño has broken a record for the highest ocean anomaly in 170+ years… Incredibly reaching that threshold a full 2 months ahead of 2015’s record of +3.02C set on Nov 18th. See that red line? That’s 2026. Every other bold line are the strongest El Niño’s on record. 2026 is in a league of its own. #elnino #elniño We have two months left for this El Niño to continue to intensify. And it will.https://x.com/WeatherProf/status/21020058459239344000.00502026-09-22T05:55:32.887277+00:002x.comelninoelniñoclimate1189https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSvTLPaWcAAw-El?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-22T05:55:33.130737+00:001351@CarbonBriefCarbon BriefNEW – Analysis: ‘Super El Niño’ reaches ‘remarkable’ all-time record written by @hausfath Read here: https://buff.ly/4a9XUAKhttps://x.com/CarbonBrief/status/21020614452193280260.00502026-09-22T05:50:22.195674+00:002x.comclimateel-niñoanalysis1183https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSwFvmlWIAAoB_D?format=jpg&name=smallDaily Niño 3.4 sea surface temperature anomalies, 1982-2026, each relative to a centred 30-year climatology (ONI convention). Chart by Carbon Brief.2026-09-22T05:50:22.562991+00:001339@theguardiantheguardian.com‘Jaw-dropping’: Super El Niño bursts through temperature record months ahead of peakhttps://x.com/home0.005013382026-09-22T05:16:32.656978+00:002x.comclimatetemperaturenews1172https://pbs.twimg.com/card_img/2102028170492866561/CEfs59W_?format=jpg&name=small2026-09-22T05:16:32.871527+00:001338@ProfBillMcGuireBill McGuire“What is happening in the equatorial Pacific is jaw-dropping and could well mark one of the biggest global weather upheavals in a millennium,” said Prof Bill McGuire in the Guardian on Tuesday The hyper El Nino continues to obliterate recordshttps://x.com/ProfBillMcGuire/status/21020346974967767540.005013392026-09-22T05:16:32.261193+00:002x.comweatherclimateel-nino779@BenNollWeatherBen NollThe key El Niño monitoring region, Niño 3.4, has reached 3°C above average and is just 0.02°C from the all-time record. This event is now on the verge of becoming the strongest El Niño ever recorded.https://x.com/BenNollWeather/status/21000127199992136850.00502026-09-16T06:19:02.459249+00:002x.comweatherclimateel-niño662https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSS-U2KaMAEhWIY?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-16T06:19:02.681883+00:00509@hausfathZeke HausfatherAfter a nearly month-long plateau Nino3.4 region temperatures (ONI) are on their way back up. We've now surpassed 1982/1983 and are only behind 2015/2016 in terms of maximum daily values. And its only early September.https://x.com/hausfath/status/20971783616173875890.00502026-09-08T09:20:59.301623+00:002x.comnino3.4oniclimate458https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HRqsmtIWsAA6Nwf?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-08T09:20:59.592328+00:00419@hausfathZeke HausfatherThe August Niño3.4 numbers (ONI) came in at ~2.6C, a tad lower than most models predicted as temperatures largely stalled. This will likely change next week with some strong westerly wind bursts, but the trajectory may lead to a slight downward revision in September model runs.https://x.com/hausfath/status/20962900487443296610.00402026-09-06T04:40:35.391208+00:002x.comoniclimateaugust390https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HReEsLkWYAEuLzO?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-06T04:40:36.507271+00:00406@WMOWorld Meteorological OrganizationA very strong El Niño ≠ same impacts everywhere. Its effects vary according to location and season and can be modified by other climate drivers. WMO’s Global Seasonal Climate Update shows a more refined picture of expected conditions. 🔗 https://bit.ly/4zUk77Yhttps://x.com/WMO/status/20962183149848496420.00402026-09-05T13:55:45.073739+00:002x.comelninoweatherclimate375https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HRdDbrUW0AAr30d?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-05T13:55:45.374781+00:00398@ClimateDefianceClimate DefianceHumanity is going to learn a very hard lesson about mother nature being more powerful than technology this yearhttps://x.com/ClimateDefiance/status/20960073834702849790.00402026-09-05T10:40:00.485549+00:002x.comtechnologynatureclimate368https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HRaDmyCWgAY3Iek?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-05T10:40:00.860245+00:00