Gnosly Feed - electionshttps://gnosly.com/feed/elections/Business Intelligence Console and Prediction Algorithms3489Simon Speakman Cordall‘I don’t believe major change will come’<p>Itamar Greenberg, a 20-year-old Israeli refusenik voting for the first time in the predominantly ultra-Orthodox area of Bnei Brak, east of Tel Aviv, has described the electoral situation as “complicated”. “I don’t believe major change will come from these elections,” he told Al Jazeera. “The party positions are really the same, so it’s not as if it’s a choice between good and bad, though I think if we can make things just a little better for Palestinians and the political prisoners in jail, then that’s worth doing,” said Greenberg. “It was them I was thinking of when I voted.”</p>https://aje.news/bd2ca90.00202026-10-27T12:05:41.094131+00:005aljazeera.compoliticselectionsisrael3342https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/Itamar-1793099028.jpeg?w=770&resize=770%2C513&quality=80Itamar Greenberg [Courtesy of Itamar Greenberg]2026-10-27T12:05:42.642259+00:003483Israel: An official tells Al Jazeera that voter turnout as of noon local time in Israel – the first five hours of the election – was more than 31 percent. That’s the highest level at that time in any vote since 1977, the official said.<p>Source: Al Jazeera</p>https://aje.news/bd2ca9?update=50898690.00102026-10-27T11:22:02.884891+00:005aljazeera.comisraelpoliticselections3336https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2023/11/Breaking-1699362877.svg?fit=86%2C20&quality=80Houthi2026-10-27T11:22:04.079619+00:003469Opposition coalition candidates call on Israelis to head to the pollsFormer Finance Minister Avigdor Lieberman, who leads the Yisrael Beiteinu party, has called on Israelis to vote. “I’m putting an end to the [Benjamin] Netanyahu era,” he said on X. Former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett, of the Together alliance, told Israelis “now it’s your time and yours to go to the polls”. Former Israeli military chief Gadi Eisenkot, who leads the Yashar party, said “today’s victory is for the next generation”. Netanyahu – Israel’s longest-serving leader with 19 years in office – has campaigned on his wartime leadership and his alliance with President Trump, who has endorsed him and joined Israel in waging war on Iran.https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2026/10/27/israel-election-2026-live-netanyahu-faces-tough-test-in-high-stakes-polls0.00202026-10-27T06:37:51.652164+00:005aljazeera.compoliticselectionsisrael3319https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/getty_6ae03cce55-1793080526.jpg?w=770&resize=770%2C513&quality=80JERUSALEM, ISRAEL - JUNE 27: Israeli Minister of Finance, Avigdor Lieberman speaks at the start of Yisrael Beiteinu's party meeting on June 27, 2022 in Jerusalem, Israel. The dissolution of Israel's parliament, prompted by the collapse of its eight-party governing coalition, would force the fifth election in the last four years. (Photo by Amir Levy/Getty Images)2026-10-27T06:37:52.070617+00:003432@AdamJSchwarzAdam SchwarzLula's victory speech: "We had to overcome foreign interference through digital platforms, which we will have to regulate. We cannot have monstrously huge corporations earning millions & billions, paying no taxes to this country & trying to steer this country's election results."<p>Source: AdamJSchwarz (X)</p>https://x.com/AdamJSchwarz/status/21145371486448070540.00102026-10-26T10:01:37.955017+00:002x.comelectionsbrazil3274https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HVhYA4JWYAAYiJv?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-26T10:01:39.501131+00:003406https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIAAccording to The New York Times, Brazilian electoral law experts say a two-hour voting extension ordered by Justice Cristiano Zanin could raise legal questions about the presidential election.<p>The report states that the order was issued around the scheduled 5 p.m. closing time. Some polling stations had already closed and locked their electronic voting machines, while others continued accepting votes until 7 p.m., potentially creating differences in voting access across regions. </p><p>Electoral lawyer Priscilla Sodré Pereira described the situation as serious. Electoral law professor Fernando Neisser said annulment could be possible if the result is close and evidence establishes that extended voting disproportionately benefited areas supporting one candidate. Any such outcome would depend on the evidence and a ruling by the relevant electoral authorities.</p>https://lnkd.in/p/dbyswTsz0.00202026-10-26T05:28:20.625245+00:001linkedin.combrazilpoliticselections3239https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQHW6whQoRvaFg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaF2qV_LIYAc-/0/1792992174298?e=1794441600&v=beta&t=maGOhacAMlU2R0k3tlk5uaVIXwmkeAiFp9SrAONtl2oView image2026-10-26T05:28:21.463542+00:003397Bolsonaro and Lula face off in knife-edge Brazil election<p>Right-wing challenger seeks to oust leftist president and bring Latin America’s largest country closer to Donald Trump</p>https://www.ft.com/content/29033fb9-2dc7-4af0-a2ff-55d1bdd5dece0.00202026-10-25T13:39:41.577375+00:0012ft.combrazillulabolsonaropoliticselections3233https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F155ed377-6efc-48cd-b5a8-6005b826afe4.jpg?source=next-home-page&dpr=2&width=280&fit=scale-downBolsonaro and Lula face off in knife-edge Brazil election2026-10-25T13:39:41.876945+00:003395US voters worried about corruption under Trump — FT poll<p>Americans link graft to affordability crisis as midterm elections loom</p>https://www.ft.com/content/2770ef24-198c-49bc-8cb8-b9d40108d7970.00202026-10-25T13:36:57.394839+00:0012ft.comustrumppoliticselections3232https://images.ft.com/v3/image/raw/https%3A%2F%2Fd1e00ek4ebabms.cloudfront.net%2Fproduction%2F303ab200-03c4-49d8-bf22-5b0cdb295b43.jpg?source=next-home-page&dpr=2&width=280&fit=scale-downUS voters worried about corruption under Trump — FT poll2026-10-25T13:36:58.252316+00:003244@atruparAaron RuparTrump: "If you elected a Republican House and Senate on November 3, you're gonna get $5,000. And if we lose, you get nothing. You're gonna get nothing! If we lose, you get nothing. Make it a lot easier to vote."<p>Source: Aaron Rupar (X)</p>https://x.com/atrupar/status/21127171233236544890.00502026-10-22T06:53:37.044135+00:002x.comtrumpuselections3087IMAGE/media/content/3244/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-22T06:53:58.304759+00:002775@DecisionDeskHQDecision Desk HQDDHQ House Forecast Update: Democrats are at their highest win probability of this cycle, and are favored to win 235 House seats, while Republicans are favored in 200.<p>🟦 Democrats - 76% </p><p>🟥 Republicans - 24% </p>https://x.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/21096661435897860070.00502026-10-12T19:49:42.574838+00:002x.comelectionsuspolitics2592https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUcIK3WWQAAW9kh?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-12T19:49:43.600191+00:002525@BernieSandersBernie SandersIn 2010, billionaires spent $32 million to influence the mid-term elections. Today, 170 billionaire families have spent a record $1.7 billion on the 2026 midterms. Insane.<p>Democracy must be 1 person, 1 vote — not billionaires buying elections. </p>https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/21082229301989049110.00402026-10-09T13:29:29.596596+00:002x.comelectionsus2351https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUHpZjqXoAA5aMm?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-09T13:29:30.021314+00:002483Trump says he won’t attack Iran before US midterm elections<p>US ⁠President Donald Trump says the United States ⁠is having productive discussions with Iran and will ⁠not launch another attack on the country before US midterm congressional elections in November. “We ‌are having productive discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Trump wrote in a post on Truth Social. He said ⁠the US blockade of ⁠Iranian ports remains in effect and oil is flowing through ⁠the Strait of Hormuz. “We will ⁠not be ⁠attacking Iran at any time prior to the midterm elections to be ‌held in the United States on November 3rd,” Trump ‌said.</p>https://aje.news/5iov8c0.00602026-10-08T16:39:51.911805+00:005aljazeera.comiranus-politicselectionstrump2298https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/AP24085591446779-1711506371.jpgThe Truth Social account of President Donald Trump2026-10-08T16:39:53.970488+00:002278Bolsonaro favourite to win: What Brazil’s first round of elections tells usAnalysts say Flavio Bolsonaro is projected to win the run-off vote on October 25 and become Brazil’s next president.https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/10/5/bolsonaro-favourite-to-win-what-brazils-first-round-of-election-tells-us0.00402026-10-05T12:53:24.312882+00:005aljazeera.comelectionsbrazilexplainer2100https://www.aljazeera.com/wp-content/uploads/2026/10/getty_6ac389240e-1791199524.jpgFlavio Bolsonaro2026-10-05T12:53:25.382769+00:001548https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIAConsensus has been positioning for a split congres...Consensus has been positioning for a split congress (the House with the democrats and republicans keeping the Senate) but it might be wrong as a democrat sweep now looks like a real possibility.Indeed, over the last few weeks, polymarket odds were showing a rising probability of Trump losing control of the Senate, but that trend accelerated sharply recently (see the chart below)!Source: Polymarket Florian Marini, CFA, CMThttps://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/0.00602026-09-24T08:48:56.607867+00:001linkedin.commarketpoliticselections1351https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQG5TbuZrbzZ3w/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaDMq6lvIsAc-/0/1790140197600?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=XxD3GIvLPtd8srC15Mz6Tf3RidUWRmNRHO8Ul88kBHkView image2026-09-24T08:48:57.199671+00:001264@russianews_engRussia News🚨 🇷🇺 Turnout in Russia's State Duma elections reac...🚨 🇷🇺 Turnout in Russia's State Duma elections reached nearly 57% by the close of voting, according to data from the Central Election Commission.https://x.com/russianews_eng/status/21017385319367517220.00502026-09-20T19:32:43.376024+00:002x.comstate-dumarussiaelections1110https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f6a8.svg🚨2026-09-20T19:32:43.805440+00:001111https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f1f7-1f1fa.svg🇷🇺2026-09-20T19:32:43.853383+00:00811@LizThomasStratLiz ThomasIf crude oil prices (~$100/bbl on WTI) and crack s...If crude oil prices (~$100/bbl on WTI) and crack spreads persist at these levels, prices at the pump for regular and diesel gasoline could surpass $4.70/gal and $6.65/gal, respectively, by the time midterm elections roll around.https://x.com/LizThomasStrat/status/20998777569472759770.00502026-09-16T11:57:08.592674+00:002x.comgasolineoilelections695https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HR3kRZ1WIAIQj8u?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-16T11:57:08.924221+00:00