Gnosly Feed - elnino

The warmest month on average in a super nino in relation to average is December. The European weather model ensemble shows a pattern not seen before.

Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:45:17 +0000

Source: BuffaloWeather (X)

The temperature anomaly in the El Niño zone set a new record yesterday: 3.48°C.

Tue, 27 Oct 2026 11:28:43 +0000

Source: Juan Bordera (X)

Super El Niño is going away quickly - suddenly - according to NOAA

Mon, 19 Oct 2026 08:32:39 +0000

Source: Unintended Consequence (X), quoting NOAA

El Niño: 8 out of 10 models predict that this event will reach a peak strength of 4°C, most likely in December.

Tue, 13 Oct 2026 17:07:01 +0000

That represents an enormous reservoir of anomalous heat in the equatorial Pacific, significantly raising the potential for extreme weather in the U.S. this winter.

El Niño 2026–2027 is becoming increasingly extreme and has yet to reach its peak. Its impacts are already being felt in Indonesia (drought, forest fires, haze, heat..)

Mon, 12 Oct 2026 06:24:41 +0000

Source: Hendratno (X)

December El Niño anomaly projected to peak near +4°C

Sun, 11 Oct 2026 06:49:46 +0000

The October runs for dynamical El Niño models are now all out, and its a mixed bag. Some revise the event downward, some upward, but on average its still expected to peak at ~4C, albeit with the peak more likely to occur in December than November:

Inside India newsletter: Food crisis, economic shock ahead as India braces for El Niño

Thu, 08 Oct 2026 05:09:09 +0000

Source: CNBC

For the first time in history, the temperature in the El Niño zone exceeds 30.0º C. And it's going to keep rising.

Wed, 07 Oct 2026 06:51:22 +0000

Source: JuanBordera (X)

In just nine short months, we went from La Niña to one of the strongest El Niños ever observed.

Sun, 04 Oct 2026 18:51:41 +0000

Just astonishing.

It’s official, the 2026 El Niño has broken a recor...

Tue, 22 Sep 2026 05:55:32 +0000

It’s official, the 2026 El Niño has broken a record for the highest ocean anomaly in 170+ years… Incredibly reaching that threshold a full 2 months ahead of 2015’s record of +3.02C set on Nov 18th. See that red line? That’s 2026. Every other bold line are the strongest El Niño’s on record. 2026 is in a league of its own. #elnino #elniño We have two months left for this El Niño to continue to intensify. And it will.

El Niño will peak around 4°C in December, accordin...

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:56:38 +0000

El Niño will peak around 4°C in December, according to brand new ECMWF seasonal guidance. After months of increasingly intense forecasts, predictions have finally leveled off — but at a record-smashing level.

A very strong El Niño ≠ same impacts everywhere. I...

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 13:55:45 +0000

A very strong El Niño ≠ same impacts everywhere. Its effects vary according to location and season and can be modified by other climate drivers. WMO’s Global Seasonal Climate Update shows a more refined picture of expected conditions. 🔗 https://bit.ly/4zUk77Y

The Niño 1+2 Index near Peru and Ecuador has reach...

Sat, 05 Sep 2026 06:04:38 +0000

The Niño 1+2 Index near Peru and Ecuador has reached a remarkable, record-breaking 4.8°C above average, surpassing the record from 1983. Ocean temperatures are forecast to surge toward 6°C above average during October. There is no modern precedent for these conditions.