https://gnosly.com/feed/finance/Business Intelligence Console and Prediction Algorithms3648Lenders and investors are getting choosier about their bets and demanding stricter terms, as the AI build-out enters a new phase.https://www.wsj.com/finance/the-new-bottleneck-in-americas-ai-build-out-a-shortage-of-cheap-money-0c14c84d0.00102026-10-31T07:11:28.117148+00:0023wsj.cominvestmentaifinance3623@ZeGoodTraderZeGoodTrader<p>Source: ZeGoodTrader (X)</p>https://x.com/ZeGoodTrader/status/21162746987703666950.00202026-10-31T04:19:22.344937+00:002x.comfinancedebteu3514https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HV6En8IaMAE1mpv?format=png&name=smallImage2026-10-31T04:19:22.822176+00:002811@ChillBankingChill Banker<p>Source: Chill Banker (X), quoting Goldman Sachs</p>https://x.com/ChillBanking/status/21097547323237213950.00502026-10-13T16:20:17.489379+00:002x.comgoldmansachsfinanceuseconomy2626IMAGE/media/content/2811/20261013-gs-report-how-people-spend-money.jpg20261013-gs-report-how-people-spend-money.jpgjpg2026-10-13T16:22:36.603826+00:002804@SteveRattnerSteve Rattner<p>Source: SteveRattner (X)</p>https://x.com/SteveRattner/status/21086523621310015410.00502026-10-13T12:07:30.880902+00:002x.commortgagefinanceeconomy2619https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUNwJUGWgAAHfoZ?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-13T12:07:31.673235+00:002732https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi Letter<p>This comes despite the typical family debt load remaining unchanged since 2022, suggesting that more households are struggling to keep up with existing financial obligations</p>https://lnkd.in/p/d4k38Hi50.00702026-10-12T09:00:15.949991+00:001linkedin.comfinancedebtus2552https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQFH3MsQP_e-yw/feedshare-shrink_800/B4DaEstZ0RJsAc-/0/1791751462399?e=1793232000&v=beta&t=_ehc01SqV7YBZluNV2UOTSPHd3fKazwCoUx_30PDytkView image2026-10-12T09:00:16.469825+00:002618https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi Letter<p>This marks the 14th consecutive monthly increase, totalling +$154 billion. Since the start of 2022, consumer credit has risen +$684 billion. </p><p>Non-revolving credit, covering auto and student loans, rose +$13.1 billion in August, to $3.84 trillion, an all-time high. </p><p>Meanwhile, revolving credit, which includes credit cards, fell by $ 4.8 billion to $1.35 trillion, its 4th-highest level on record.</p><p><strong>US consumers are still borrowing</strong>.</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-10-10T15:27:48.349059+00:001linkedin.comcreditusfinance2437https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQGlD0vB8Dfv9g/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaEg4F8rHYAc-/0/1791552938028?e=1793232000&v=beta&t=7MV7P5WB0Gn-BTCk9pGa8rD3NFqWQNJeSy2hK0UQ97kView image2026-10-10T15:27:48.842232+00:002497@LawrenceLepardLawrence Lepard, "fix the money, fix the world"<p>This chart from our upcoming EMA Q3 Report proves the point.</p>https://x.com/LawrenceLepard/status/21082584567929081550.00702026-10-09T06:59:53.783629+00:002x.comdebtusfinance2321https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUIJV-9X0AA2zYF?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-09T06:59:54.198607+00:002495@1CoastalJournalThe Coastal Journal<p>JP Morgan: -11% </p><p>Bank of America: -19% </p><p>Citigroup: -15% </p><p>Wells Fargo: -18.5% </p><p>Goldman Sachs: -24% </p><p>Morgan Stanley: -19% </p><p>US Bancorp: -15% </p><p>Capital One: -25% </p><p>PNC Financial: -16% </p><p>BNY Mellon: -14%</p>https://x.com/1CoastalJournal/status/21083638882491761920.00502026-10-09T06:50:07.123480+00:002x.combanksusfinance2320IMAGE/media/content/2495/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-09T06:51:20.507573+00:002485@KobeissiLetterThe Kobeissi Letter<p>Source: The Kobeissi Letter (X)</p>https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/21082221958814067690.00402026-10-08T16:50:40.140003+00:002x.comcryptofinancebitcoin2302https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUHoy2BWUAAcmDL?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-08T16:50:40.601475+00:002477@HedgeyeHedgeye<p>Source: Hedgeye (X)</p>https://x.com/Hedgeye/status/21082072031779103240.00402026-10-08T15:59:04.685886+00:002x.commarketoilfinance2290https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUHbBojWMAAqr4m?format=png&name=smallImage2026-10-08T15:59:05.124312+00:002409@Nicolas_ColinNicolas Colin<p>Across the Atlantic, into America, where they flow into US equities, Treasuries, and other financial assets—and, increasingly, into the valuations of a handful of tech giants. Those returns are difficult for American factories to match, which helps push capital toward finance and technology rather than manufacturing. Meanwhile, European plants face high energy costs, weak investment, and growing Chinese competition—all problems that more capital could help address, yet European savings continue to finance American assets. I call this “the West’s carry trade against itself”: Europe saves; America turns those savings into financial assets and inflated tech valuations; meanwhile, China builds the factories. The chart below shows twenty years of this dynamic. More on this soon: https://open.substack.com/pub/europeanstraits/p/the-wests-carry-trade-against-itself…</p>https://x.com/Nicolas_Colin/status/21077742034327064900.00602026-10-07T15:52:28.939246+00:002x.comfinanceeu2220https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HUA5fUBW0AEvoMW?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T15:52:30.077599+00:002395@JG_NukeNobody SpecialAnother $40 billion borrowed from somebody's retirement to pay for datacenters...innnnnn spaaaaace!!!https://x.com/JG_Nuke/status/21076530729526438710.00402026-10-07T08:14:52.431240+00:002x.comdatacenterstechnologyfinance2207https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT_i-15WIAAmCVb?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T08:14:54.290167+00:002389@xavier_delmasXavier Delmas<p>The world's most indebted developed country must now pay to borrow. </p>https://x.com/xavier_delmas/status/21075128003565571950.00502026-10-07T06:59:47.851507+00:002x.comeconomicsjapanfinance2201https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HT9jrD_WYAAPsH1?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-07T06:59:48.827698+00:002236https://www.linkedin.com/in/melissarosenthal5/Melissa Rosenthal<p>Meta spent $31.1 billion on AI infrastructure last quarter, against $31.9 billion in operating cash flow. Its free cash flow came to $784 million, down from $8.5 billion a year earlier. The rest of Big Tech is in a similar position, and the difference is increasingly being borrowed. Goldman Sachs estimates investors have put about $500 billion into AI-linked companies this year. Amazon, Alphabet Inc., Meta, Microsoft and Oracle are expected to issue more than $1 trillion in new debt over the next few years. Bain &amp; Company’s new technology report puts a figure on what that spending has to earn back: about $6 trillion in annual AI revenue by 2031. Bain thinks today's consumer and enterprise AI products could cover up to $1.8 trillion of it. The remaining $4.2 trillion would have to come from businesses that are still small or haven't been built. Bond prices have moved with that uncertainty. The $27 billion in notes funding Meta's Hyperion data center in Louisiana traded as high as 110 cents on the dollar shortly after they were sold last October, and at 91 cents on September 28. For enterprise leaders, the financing behind this spending deserves a close look. The cloud capacity companies are signing multi-year contracts for is being built partly with borrowed money, and borrowing costs have been rising. If AI revenue grows more slowly than Bain's model assumes, those carrying costs could eventually show up in cloud pricing. We went through the numbers at State of AI here: https://lnkd.in/gsJ8YpD7</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00802026-10-05T04:29:53.551813+00:001linkedin.comaibig-techfinance2056https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D5622AQFXpKObg9NfGg/feedshare-shrink_160/B56aEJqxClGcAk-/0/1791163569188?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=GG0pSuuwQPC_zIE4c2o5TFa9RBnf8hBOSfcO72FPkjoView image2026-10-05T04:29:55.449224+00:002234@RobynHDRobynHD<p>The first graphic from J.P. Morgan shows: The investment spending of Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle is approaching their operating cash flow. In the forecast shown, the combined free cash flow falls below zero in 2026 and remains negative in 2027. An operating cash flow of more than one trillion US dollars is therefore temporarily insufficient to cover the investments. The capital network shows the second side: Chip suppliers invest in AI companies, these order computing power, cloud providers buy chips. On top of that come long-term contracts, buyback commitments, and guarantees. This can accelerate the expansion. But it also makes the companies dependent on each other: If a major customer comes under pressure, multiple partners can be affected simultaneously. Important: Investments, contract commitments, and guarantees are different magnitudes. They must neither be simply added up as "debt" nor treated as revenue already received. For me, this is the crucial point: How quickly will sufficient revenue from paying customers arise from the enormous investments? The graphics do not prove an AI bubble. But they show how much future growth is already being financed and contractually anticipated.</p>https://x.com/RobynHD/status/21066651375578772260.00602026-10-04T19:42:26.295162+00:002x.cominvestmentaifinance2053https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTxgjNFW8AEBuMw?format=jpg&name=240x240Image2026-10-04T19:42:26.734239+00:002054https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTxgjNeWkAAM5Py?format=jpg&name=360x360Image2026-10-04T19:42:26.776717+00:002225@joemccannJoe McCann<p>We hit that level this past week.</p>https://x.com/joemccann/status/21064773871816339460.00502026-10-04T19:09:19.481752+00:002x.commarketsratesfinance2044https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTuay_IaMAAAaTB?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-04T19:09:20.154600+00:002221@JaguarAnalyticsJaguarAnalytics<p>Source: Bloomberg</p>https://x.com/JaguarAnalytics/status/21064079142778306820.00402026-10-04T18:55:44.788140+00:002x.combond-marketfinanceeconomy2041https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTt21UKWUAEWtSH?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-04T18:55:45.777385+00:002218@Kalshi_FinanceKalshi FinanceBREAKING: Donald Trump now owes roughly $12,000 to every American, totaling around $3.8 TRILLIONhttps://x.com/Kalshi_Finance/status/21067612697892334170.00502026-10-04T18:47:54.912542+00:002x.comdonaldtrumpbreakingfinance2037https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2053160231014727685/zepWrs-g_normal.jpg2026-10-04T18:47:55.413348+00:002038https://pbs.twimg.com/profile_images/2061243841957502981/FZGJ4D6K_bigger.jpg2026-10-04T18:47:55.458704+00:002208https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA<p>That's an increase of $500 billion in ONE MONTH (mostly NVDA). Expect this to 3x after 10Qs hit.</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-10-04T14:50:55.698400+00:001linkedin.comtechnologyinvestmentfinance2031https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQEk7u0aFkqJSg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaEF1ugaHkAc-/0/1791099332876?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=Ns2gWJZYBuebF213F4U3wWlDDlgReaHiyywGHy_A6ZMView image2026-10-04T14:50:55.998765+00:002198@coinbureauCoin Bureau<p>The whole world is DROWNING in debt. Global debt has officially hit a record $365.5 TRILLION, jumping by $10 TRILLION in just the first 6 months of 2026. And just 10 governments owe almost $97 TRILLION between them: US: $40.7T, national debt officially topped $40T for the first time China: $22.3T, record 11.89T yuan in new bonds planned this year Japan: $9.0T, national debt at a record ¥1,346T UK: $4.4T, highest share of GDP since the early 1960s France: $4.3T, record €3.6T, highest share of GDP since 1946 Italy: $3.8T, record €3.18T Germany: $3.5T, record €500B+ in bond sales planned India: $3.5T Canada: $2.8T Brazil: $2.5T America alone owes more than China, Japan, the UK and France COMBINED. And rich countries now pay $3.3 TRILLION a year in interest, more than the world spends on AI. Who's going to pay all this back?</p>https://x.com/coinbureau/status/21066857681693697020.00902026-10-04T13:54:40.532230+00:002x.comglobalfinancedebt2015IMAGE/media/content/2198/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-10-04T13:58:16.622167+00:002188@MayaMajueranMaya Majueran<p>U.S. national debt has now exceeded 100% of GDP - a milestone not seen since the post-WWII era. The implications are global: borrowing costs are rising everywhere, market volatility is heightened, and pressure is growing on the dollar's dominance as the world's primary reserve currency. The cracks are showing.</p>https://x.com/MayaMajueran/status/21066066291523258060.00402026-10-04T06:38:44.372418+00:002x.comeconomicsfinancedebt1993https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTwrgGUa8AAQLCC?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-04T06:38:46.163534+00:002185@kurtsaltrichterKurt S. Altrichter, CRPS®<p>When a company says its market is the size of the entire US economy, hold onto your wallet. Anthropic is reportedly telling IPO investors its total addressable market tops $30 trillion. SpaceX pitched $28.5 trillion. The entire US economy is about $32 trillion. TAM is the revenue you would earn if you captured 100% of a market you drew yourself. It is the easiest number in finance to inflate. History gives the warning. WeWork claimed a giant addressable market right before it imploded. The bigger the TAM slide, the bigger the red flag. Treat a TAM the size of US GDP as a sentiment signal, not a valuation input. Right now the slides are getting loud.</p>https://x.com/kurtsaltrichter/status/21063291666435977290.00502026-10-04T05:37:09.310836+00:002x.comfinanceeconomyanthropic1990https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTsvNxkWUAAB74_?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-04T05:37:10.256622+00:002162https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakob-riemann-cfe-40008b13a/Jakob Riemann, CFE<p>GLOBAL LIQUIDITY JUST HIT A RECORD AT THE WORST POSSIBLE TIME. The combined money supply of the U.S., China, Japan, and the euro area has reached $103.66 TRILLION. That is roughly $1 TRILLION higher in just one month.</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-10-03T07:21:56.105780+00:001linkedin.comglobal-liquiditymacro-economyfinance1965https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQGsDly0gg4cxg/feedshare-shrink_160/B4EaDlE2MfGQAk-/0/1790549648458?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=NLrxxNEPP-DlcHK4Fhx_C0XtWw-r9h111X9KoJV2okgView image2026-10-03T07:21:56.647387+00:002161@IGWTreportIn Gold We Trust<p>America's gold covered 48.4% of US public debt in 1940 and 20.4% in 1980. Today, about 3%. "The bones are the gold. They haven't changed in fifty years," told @RonStoeferle @DenGoldGroup's Mining Forum Americas. "What has changed is how much paper has grown around them."</p>https://x.com/IGWTreport/status/21059599192625399270.00502026-10-03T07:18:43.078482+00:002x.comfinancegolddebt1964https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTnfQkcbMAAMvJt?format=png&name=smallImage2026-10-03T07:18:44.358162+00:002143@samueltombsSamuel Tombs<p>It's beyond doubt now - AI is a net drag on payrolls. Job losses in finance, information and professional and business services are continuously exceeding the jobs created in the construction and manufacturing sectors:</p>https://x.com/samueltombs/status/21060065000828437540.00502026-10-03T05:12:37.539211+00:002x.comjobsaifinance1945https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HToJf5oWoAA_JsY?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-03T05:12:37.968039+00:002113https://www.linkedin.com/in/wim-grommen-87aa7632/Wim Grommen<p>French 10-year bond yields are the highest relative to similarly-dated German bunds since the European debt crisis 14 years ago. France's borrowing costs have risen above those of Italy and Greece, with the nation facing one of the biggest fiscal deficits in the EU.</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00802026-10-02T07:15:52.320970+00:001linkedin.comeubondsfinance1920https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQFcORAFexfb8g/feedshare-shrink_160/B4EaD6_rRJIIAk-/0/1790917391671?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=L-gJ4vXu3sYwn3VJKg3QuuF66sn5rB8Fnq1EQXb0YvgView image2026-10-02T07:15:52.846700+00:002099@sonalibasakSonali Basak<p>Higher yields have meant the prices we pay on US borrowing have surpassed $1.1 trillion in aggregate — more than triple where we were during Covid and the next trillion is expected to be reached in far less time.</p>https://x.com/sonalibasak/status/21057780132208765780.00402026-10-02T06:19:09.749488+00:002x.comus-borrowingcovidfinance1903https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTk58VobMAAu_zl?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-02T06:19:10.190838+00:002091@LarkDavisLark Davis<p>US 10-Year Treasury yield hits a multi-decade high, touching 5.34% intraday (highest since early 2002) as the sovereign bond selloff intensifies. • US 10Y: intraday high ~5.34% (highest since 2002) • UK 30Y: &gt;6.00% (highest since 1998) • French 10Y: ~4.92–4.96%, nearing 5.00%</p>https://x.com/LarkDavis/status/21058857095045247640.00402026-10-02T05:37:18.595985+00:002x.comtreasurybondsfinance1894https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTmb5ALXkAAZUOP?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-02T05:37:19.863826+00:002053https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi Letter<p>The UK’s 30Y Government Bond yield rises to 6.02%, its highest level since January 1997.That’s a total of +564 basis points since the low seen in 2020.</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00502026-10-01T11:41:18.159358+00:001linkedin.comukgovernment-bondfinance1858IMAGE/media/content/2053/g-20261001-uk-10yr-yields.jpgg-20261001-uk-10yr-yields.jpgjpg2026-10-01T11:44:57.086778+00:002038https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA<p>Another all-time high in the spread between French and Swiss 10-year yields. The spread is widening almost as fast as it did during the 2011 euro crisis. Source: Karel Mercx@KarelMercx</p>https://lnkd.in/p/dyTKUD920.00602026-10-01T09:07:00.435106+00:001linkedin.combondsfinanceyields1838https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQEvIJxjd-HOww/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaDu8v1mGgAg-/0/1790715297403?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=wXAE9_B_pmttgFyXfDZG6tE-j59EakzXWbtFazLN-nwView image2026-10-01T09:07:01.137438+00:002031@dougboneparthDouglas A. BoneparthThis isn’t a cryptocurrency or meme stock, it’s the 10-year Treasury.https://x.com/dougboneparth/status/21053521554271191170.00402026-10-01T07:02:26.272203+00:002x.comtreasuryfinancecryptocurrency1829https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTe2oMhXUAABQOy?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-01T07:02:26.675917+00:002021@HayekAndKeynesThe Long ViewLoans are back at a 10% yield again...https://x.com/HayekAndKeynes/status/21054661981798607390.00402026-10-01T05:59:22.604883+00:002x.comloansyieldfinance1818https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTgeMFEW0AEw7Gn?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-10-01T05:59:23.668505+00:001998@WhaleInsiderWhale InsiderJUST IN: 🇺🇸 U.S. 10-year Treasury yield surges to 5.304%, surpassing its 2007 peak and reaching the highest level since May 2002.https://x.com/WhaleInsider/status/21053510217448245360.00402026-09-30T19:23:33.468999+00:002x.comusfinanceeconomy1798https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTe1l6tXkAAV3Zz?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-30T19:23:34.604146+00:001993@EpsilonTheoryBen HuntNot to be all alarmist or anything, but a) this move in 10yr and 30yr isn’t oil or Iran related, and b) something in financial-world is going to break.https://x.com/EpsilonTheory/status/21053455600647455480.00502026-09-30T19:19:57.176681+00:002x.commarketsfinanceanalysis1792https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTewoMobgAAk48h?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-30T19:19:57.454523+00:001793https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTewoMpa0AA4NVn?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-30T19:19:57.494802+00:001987@macropaperrThe Macro Paper<p>A FRESH 24 YEAR HIGH FOR US 20Y AND 30Y YIELDS. This is not normal at all.</p>https://x.com/macropaperr/status/21053083570035224840.00502026-09-30T16:02:11.221990+00:002x.com24yearhighfinanceyields1785https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTeN578bgAEDfct?format=png&name=360x360Image2026-09-30T16:02:12.325023+00:001786https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTeN-E4aQAAwQfL?format=png&name=360x360Image2026-09-30T16:02:12.364884+00:001986@MichaelalderyanMichaelThe bond market sees through all the bullshit and ultimately will fuck the algoshttps://x.com/Michaelalderyan/status/21053054922267239740.00402026-09-30T16:01:11.732316+00:002x.comalgosbond-marketfinance1784https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTeML5nWsAAOgKa?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-30T16:01:13.495258+00:001985@BarchartBarchartCayman Islands Hedge Funds are buying U.S. Treasury Bills at the fastest pace in history 🚨 🚨https://x.com/Barchart/status/21051660897725565960.00502026-09-30T15:49:35.111019+00:002x.comhedge-fundstreasuriesfinance1781https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTcNYsKW8AAfp0c?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-30T15:49:35.415971+00:001980@HedgeyeHedgeye<p>U.S. 30-year yield soars above 5.62%, the highest level since 2002.</p>https://x.com/Hedgeye/status/21053091650026048330.00402026-09-30T15:13:53.278067+00:002x.comyieldbreakingfinance1774https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTePcmdWkAAIe0j?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-30T15:13:53.797952+00:001948https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi Letter<p>The bond market is now pricing-in 4 more 25 basis point rate hikes by June 2027, a total of +125 basis points including September's hike.Just 9 months ago, markets had expected at least 100 basis points of rate CUTS by June 2027.That's a +225 basis point differential in interest rate expectations in a matter of months.Meanwhile, the 10Y Note Yield is up nearly +70 basis points in 30 days with no comment from the Trump Administration.To top it all off, after a failed attempt at intervention, the US Treasury is now completely silent as long-term yields surge to their highest level since June 2002.The bond market is trading like 7%+ inflation is back and the Fed is about to start raising rates by 50 basis points at a time.This is unsustainable.</p>https://lnkd.in/p/dmS-VJvr0.00802026-09-30T06:31:58.927597+00:001linkedin.commarketsbondfinance1741https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQGcnDOQFiII0w/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaDuCN9XKMAc-/0/1790699954320?e=1792627200&v=beta&t=ADb0UTM-uNfooptBbS7AEQ11tMJPjcRO7uBqPCZiFOYView image2026-09-30T06:32:00.224357+00:001921@WatcherGuruWatcher.GuruJUST IN: 🇺🇸 US 30-year Treasury yield rises to highest level since 2002.https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/21049502854457591660.00502026-09-29T15:39:34.577855+00:002x.comustreasuryfinance1713https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTZJH-kbcAAqdHE?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-29T15:39:35.104441+00:001911@AyeshaTariqAyesha Tariq, CFA<p>This is something... YTD, hyperscalers have issued more debt than some governments.</p>https://x.com/AyeshaTariq/status/21049367339222673990.00502026-09-29T14:39:36.459097+00:002x.comeconomyfinancedebt1700IMAGE/media/content/1911/g-20260929-hyperscalers-debt.pngg-20260929-hyperscalers-debt.pngpng2026-09-29T14:57:50.746732+00:001910@realMeetKevinMeet KevinAnthropic's actual numbers divided by 100k (to relate), are insane: 😇 You make $45.9k/yr 😇 You spend $126.5k/yr 😇 Somehow you're worth $20m 😇 & you just promised you'd spend $5.18m 😇 Rich people keep investing in you so you can keep buying their productshttps://x.com/realMeetKevin/status/21047315152761243000.00602026-09-29T14:32:28.479837+00:002x.comanthropicnumbersfinance1694https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTWB9vkagAAXqTa?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-29T14:32:29.395582+00:001896https://www.linkedin.com/in/jason-lemire-00a61810/Jason Lemire<p>Here is who benefits from Anthropic's 500 billion + spending plan 👇There's a lot of money being spent on AI, we already know that. But there's also a ton of money being committed to AI over the next several years and even decades!Here is just one example: Anthropic. They are planning to spend more than half a trillion dollars on compute and AI infrastructure over the next 5-10 years. That's a staggering amount for a company that basically just entered the mainstream late last year / early this year.Here is where the money is committed, and the period it covers 👇 . TL;DR: - Their strategic partners, Alphabet and Amazon, are the primary beneficiaries. - SpaceX and Microsoft are also beneficiaries, but to a much smaller extent (expect those relationships to grow in the years ahead, though).- Lesser-known firms like Nscale, Fluidstack, and Nvidia-backed cloud provider Lambda have also inked huge deals totaling nearly 150bn.Remember that nine large companies (MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, META, ORCL, NVDA, AVGO, SPCX, AMD) have about 3 trillion in commitments as well, as WSJ reported about six weeks ago.OpenAI also has ambitious spending plans, ranging anywhere from 600bn to 1.5 trillion. That's a lot of money committed for a long period of time!PS: Not an investment recommendation.✌</p>https://lnkd.in/p/dpkEZFYE0.00602026-09-29T09:03:31.253237+00:001linkedin.comanthropicfinance1678IMAGE/media/content/1896/g-20260929-antrophic-spending-plan.jpgg-20260929-antrophic-spending-plan.jpgjpg2026-09-29T09:05:12.400770+00:001895@ns123abcNIK<p>Anthropic IPO S-1 prospectus: Valuation target: $2 TRILLION &gt;$4.6 billion in revenue in 2025 &gt;$8.06 billion in operating loss &gt;$42 billion in net loss The prospectus warns that nearly 25% of revenue came from just TWO customers, and that many top enterprise clients aren't locked into long-term contracts and could cut spending or walk away anytime Anthropic plans to spend $518 BILLION on compute commitments ‘in the coming year’</p>https://x.com/ns123abc/status/21047358220291768330.00502026-09-29T09:00:51.636711+00:002x.comipoanthropicfinance1676IMAGE/media/content/1895/g-20260929-antrophic-cashflow.jpgg-20260929-antrophic-cashflow.jpgjpg2026-09-29T09:02:58.481746+00:001873@TheStalwartJoe Weisenthal10-year yield got over 5.22%https://x.com/TheStalwart/status/21045232329088658780.00402026-09-28T11:47:11.325130+00:002x.comyieldfinanceeconomy1653https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTTEuZTWcAAoMFe?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-28T11:47:12.373126+00:001865@macropaperrThe Macro Paper<p>🚨 THERE IS JUST NO STOPPING JAPAN’S BOND CRISIS. Japan’s 2-year bond yield just hit another 31-year high. Bonds are more volatile than crypto these days.</p>https://x.com/macropaperr/status/21044817103438480660.00502026-09-28T08:22:19.077465+00:002x.combond-crisisjapanfinance1644https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTSe6KBbIAAz1uI?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-28T08:22:20.208876+00:001839https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA<p>Global money supply just hit a new all-time high of $103.66 TRILLION. Fed, ECB, Bank of Japan, and PBOC alone added $1 trillion in August, the 10th straight monthly increase. More money printed means more money flowing into assets like stocks and scarce assets. Source: Bull Theory</p>https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00502026-09-28T05:09:53.065148+00:001linkedin.comeconomicsglobal-money-supplyfinance1617https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQG3_kFue9cXFg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaDkC8ezK8Ac-/0/1790532372717?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=-6MgT7zt5XO4-2z2uHUFsqamW5YczwyXYwqmu31BLIMView image2026-09-28T05:09:54.270987+00:001833https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIABofA's Hartnett: Today’s "AI Big 10" (Mag 7 plus Broadcom, AMD and Micron) is 41% of US market cap, which is where all previous major bubbles peakedSource: zerohedge, BofAhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00452026-09-28T04:28:11.493424+00:001linkedin.commarket-capaifinance1611IMAGE/media/content/1833/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-09-28T04:28:40.910181+00:001826https://www.linkedin.com/in/aman-talwar-82847b261/Aman Talwar<p>Many ‘rich countries’ are at risk of going broke …</p>https://www.linkedin.com/posts/aman-talwar-82847b261_many-rich-countries-are-at-risk-of-going-share-7509702964677255170-HzJf/0.00452026-09-27T15:16:46.663376+00:001linkedin.comfinancerich-countrieseconomy1602IMAGE/media/content/1826/g-20260927-debt-per-capita.jpgg-20260927-debt-per-capita.jpgjpg2026-09-27T15:20:40.273964+00:001823@ekwufinanceLukas EkwuemeChina is aggressively accumulating gold. China's central bank gold purchases: March: +5t | Gold: $5.4k April: +8t | Gold: $4.6k May: +10t | Gold: $4.4k June: +15t | Gold: $4.2k July: +20t | Gold: $4.0k August: +20.2t | Gold: $4.3k China accelerated its purchases as gold fell... then kept buying aggressively as gold rebounded. August marked China's largest monthly purchase in almost 3 years and its 22nd consecutive month of official gold buying. This isn't just buying the dip anymore... it's strategic reserve diversification. As sovereign debt markets become increasingly dysfunctional, China is accumulating the one reserve asset with no counterparty risk.https://x.com/ekwufinance/status/21039052111776444740.00502026-09-27T14:57:44.488794+00:002x.comchinagoldfinance1598https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTKSo2IW8AAe1bf?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-27T14:57:44.841109+00:001790@yuriymatsoYuriy MatsoAs of September 2026, the S&P 500’s real total return stands +56.2% against its 145-year trend line, which grows 6.6% a year after inflation. Against the trend fitted from 1926 it is +39.6%. The market might need to go through an Euphoric blow off top to form another major peak similar to 1929 and 2000.https://x.com/yuriymatso/status/21039270438220842510.00402026-09-27T06:19:09.532571+00:002x.commarketfinancetrend1563https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTKl3oTbcAAJ102?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T06:19:09.752150+00:001789@TreasuryBonds1TreasuryBonds.com🚨 Charter’s 2045 bond has a 8.19% yield to worst. It trades at 83.66 cents on the dollar and pays a 6.484% coupon. Matures in around 19 years. This is a holding in many high yield bond funds.https://x.com/TreasuryBonds1/status/21039167645351776510.00402026-09-27T06:18:30.983622+00:002x.combondhigh-yieldfinance1562https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTF8nQgXwAAaX2Y?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T06:18:31.457032+00:001787@WallStCourierWallStreetCourierHigher rates are starting to weigh on stocks. The 10-year Treasury now yields 5.18%, while the S&P 500 earnings yield is around 5.2%. On a simple yield-gap basis, the gap has essentially disappeared. Higher rates raise financing costs and put pressure on valuations through higher discount rates. At the same time, the risk-free alternative has become more attractive. The impact is already visible. 53% of S&P 500 stocks are trading below their 200-day moving average. That does not mean the bull market is ending, but the risk-reward profile has clearly shifted.https://x.com/WallStCourier/status/21037977938191322570.00502026-09-27T06:15:19.115574+00:002x.comratesstocksfinance1560https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTIw1cCWYAAvcmh?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T06:15:19.390966+00:001774@BullTheoryioBull TheoryBREAKING: Nasdaq Composite just posted its highest ever weekly close, despite US 20-year and 30-year bond yields hitting multi decade highs.https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/21039192638076153230.00402026-09-27T05:46:39.031251+00:002x.combondsnasdaqfinance1548https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTKfXzfacAAaEVU?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T05:46:39.255447+00:001753@heresyfinancialJoseph BrownThis is what the first 6 years of a 40 year debt cycle looks likehttps://x.com/heresyfinancial/status/21039465088655237300.00402026-09-27T03:37:44.866849+00:002x.comcyclefinancedebt1528https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTK4MscakAArb-n?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T03:37:45.133684+00:001742@eliant_capitalEliant CapitalPretty incredible we're as oversold as Liberation Day with the S&P 100bps off the highshttps://x.com/eliant_capital/status/21039578503390864120.00402026-09-27T03:14:53.985633+00:002x.commarkettradingfinance1521https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTLCV3UWUAAL9AD?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-27T03:14:55.773614+00:001731@KobeissiLetterThe Kobeissi LetterBREAKING: The US 30Y Note Yield rises to 5.53%, its highest level since June 2004. That's +25 basis points in 3 days as the bond market continues to drop sharply. We expect US mortgage rates above 7.50% today. x.com/KobeissiLetter…https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/21035004456627695750.003517302026-09-26T11:27:56.866745+00:002x.comratesbondfinance1511https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTEiUljWIAAqrxq?format=pngImage2026-09-26T11:27:57.171222+00:001713@LanceRobertsLance Roberts"Yields are spiking higher; everything is going to go to shit." Hold on there, Sparky. Yields have returned to the long-run historical average following a period of abnormally low yields induced by 15 years of ZIRP and QE.https://x.com/LanceRoberts/status/21034550756328941630.00402026-09-26T08:29:05.170308+00:002x.comeconomicsfinanceyields1498https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTD4ozQWoAEcX_j?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-26T08:29:06.367430+00:001679@BarchartBarchartJUST IN 🚨: U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield jumps to highest level since the run-up to the Global Financial Crisishttps://x.com/Barchart/status/21032053271939404640.00402026-09-25T16:35:43.750508+00:002x.comtreasurymarketsfinance1474https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTAT4thWAAAfx7W?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T16:35:44.027736+00:001676@silvertradeSilverTrade🚨 BOND MELTDOWN: 👀 GLOBAL BOND CRISIS ACCELERATES AS US 30-YEAR YIELD PASSES 5.5% ⚠️https://x.com/silvertrade/status/21034918222699033580.00502026-09-25T16:26:27.380486+00:002x.combondfinancecrisis1471https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTEaVGWXkAAGW6f?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T16:26:29.049439+00:001674@BullTheoryioBull Theory🚨 There is no stopping US bond yields. The 30-year bond yield just hit a new 22-year high at 5.525% Yields are now moving like AI stocks, straight up, no matter what gets thrown at them.https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/21034932345678848860.00402026-09-25T16:21:37.649868+00:002x.combondsfinanceyields1469IMAGE/media/content/1674/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-09-25T16:22:12.868100+00:001669@GordonGekkoGordon<p>Japanese bond yields are going PARABOLIC Historically, we all know what comes next</p>https://x.com/GordonGekko/status/21034264440347485320.00402026-09-25T11:37:22.297918+00:002x.combond-yieldsjapanesefinancebondsus-bonds1464https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTDfM2FWcAACLlw?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T11:37:22.513148+00:001650@MBAeconomics1MBAeconomics10-year Treasury hits 5.2%! You’ve seen nothing yet! Got gold and silver?https://x.com/MBAeconomics1/status/21032136948388700700.00402026-09-25T08:38:34.370774+00:002x.comtreasurygoldfinance1450https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTAdtPxXMAAtSDn?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T08:38:35.012863+00:001645@LizAnnSondersLiz Ann Sonders30-year Treasury yield now at highest level since 2004https://x.com/LizAnnSonders/status/21030987935581843200.00402026-09-25T08:30:04.676622+00:002x.comtreasuryyieldfinance1443https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS-1NOlXIAAjNDP?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T08:30:04.958696+00:001638@DarioCpxJustDarioMinions aren’t giving up, and I trust they won’t till the very end, but gold, silver and treasury yields are all screaming that the crude oil supply crisis tsunami is now very close to hit the shores. There is still time to run for the hills and find a safe shelter, take care.https://x.com/DarioCpx/status/21030701553791921530.00402026-09-25T08:26:10.091983+00:002x.comoilfinancecrisis1437https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS-bKHoXcAA0no-?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T08:26:10.533407+00:001632@BullTheoryioBull TheoryBREAKING: Foreign purchases of short-term US debt just collapsed 80% in a year, falling from $250.5 billion to just $49.4 billion. Long-term US debt purchases from foreign buyers also fell 46% over the same period, a combined $410 billion reversal. This is happening right as the US needs to finance record amounts of new debt.https://x.com/BullTheoryio/status/21030914419165842730.00502026-09-25T07:04:44.743652+00:002x.comeconomyfinancedebt1432https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS-ugQVaoAA5WD-?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T07:04:45.168903+00:001433https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS-ugQobYAAxAQz?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T07:04:45.202379+00:001629@silvertradeSilverTrade🚨 US 10-YEAR YIELD EXPLODES TO 5.208% ⚠️ ⚡️ BOND PANIC ⁉️ 10-YEAR YIELD HAS RISEN 30 BASIS POINTS IN LAST 2 DAYS ‼️ 📈 10-YEAR YIELD NOW TRADING AT HIGHEST LEVEL SINCE THE RUN UP TO THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS ⚠️https://x.com/silvertrade/status/21033236749965107800.00502026-09-25T07:00:05.890645+00:002x.comyieldbondsfinance1429https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTCAuxuXwAA8Q8l?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T07:00:06.282156+00:001624@gaughenKevin GaughenSomeone on Bluesky asked me to explain why it’s bad for the USA to have these skyrocketing bond yield rates. I will copy and paste my explanation here: When a country’s yields go higher it means the world is losing faith it will repay its debt. Right now, Canada and Europe are selling off US bonds to minimize their risk exposure. They’re worried the USA will collapse or default. This is causing bond prices to drop, which causes yields to rise. A VERY clear message is being sent right now by our former allies. Think about it like this: if you need a car and you have good credit, a bank will give you a low interest rate on a car loan. If you have bad credit, the bank will give you a really high interest rate. Basically, risk is priced into the interest rate. It’s the same with bond yields. Make sense?https://x.com/gaughen/status/21032617087477232160.00702026-09-25T06:57:31.067702+00:002x.combondsfinanceeconomy1425https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTBJON6WAAA210o?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T06:57:31.275003+00:001621@DhavalVJoshiDhaval JoshiUPDATE: The rise in the real bond yield is now the sharpest since 2022, making it increasingly likely that stocks will feel some pain.https://x.com/DhavalVJoshi/status/21030740919304031220.00402026-09-25T06:47:49.154561+00:002x.comstocksbond-yieldfinance1423IMAGE/media/content/1621/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-09-25T06:48:15.562697+00:001615@ts_hodlTrey Sellers ∞/21MShit starts breaking at 5.25%. Financial Armageddon at 5.75%. I don’t make the rules.https://x.com/ts_hodl/status/21031796285465030880.00402026-09-25T06:34:54.110892+00:002x.commarketfinancenews1417https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS_-uY9XwAAyBU3?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T06:34:54.371250+00:001609@DhavalVJoshiDhaval JoshiUPDATE: The rise in the real bond yield is now the sharpest since 2022, making it increasingly likely that stocks will feel some pain.https://x.com/DhavalVJoshi/status/21030740919304031220.00402026-09-25T06:29:28.329256+00:002x.comstocksbondsfinance1413https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS-b_nGXYAES49a?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-25T06:29:28.671184+00:001607@deerpointmacroDeer Point MacroLet’s talk about Oracle: Oracle’s credit selloff is increasingly becoming a fundamental financing story. 124.5bn of fixed-rate debt carries 6.1bn of annual coupons, but repricing the stack at today’s curve implies 9.0bn nearly 3bn higher. More realistically, if current funding costs persist, refinancing 2027–36 maturities could add 1.1bn to annual interest expense, compress net margin 130bp to 25.3% and reduce EBITDA/interest coverage from 6.8x to 5.7x. With elevated capex, negative FCF and Oracle’s curve now 100bp wide of BBB on a maturity-weighted basis, the risk is a feedback loop: weaker FCF, greater financing needs, higher interest expense, weaker coverage and profitability.https://x.com/deerpointmacro/status/21031260773840611810.00602026-09-25T06:25:54.486252+00:002x.comdebtfinanceoracle1411https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS_OBVxWYAEezRg?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T06:25:55.611803+00:001602https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterAbsolutely incredible.The US 10Y Note Yield is now up +70 basis points this month.We are now above 5.15% for the first time since June 2007.The bond market is trading like the Fed is hiking rates by 50 basis points at a time.Q4 is going to be interesting to say the least.https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/0.00402026-09-25T06:12:05.776492+00:001linkedin.commarketbondsfinance1408https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQGlYFpzVA7lwg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4DaDUZBXSHsAg-/0/1790269724699?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=zy8E3BBi0sUZKXmQEo4JqAAkUZfLaaV6tl5ESxqwdDwView image2026-09-25T06:12:06.221747+00:001598@Analyst_GGregTheAnalystI don't make the rules, but I bet BIG FAT SCARRY EVENT will arrive once we leave this blue (3M)MA200 on SPX/GOLD for the 5th time in 100Ys -Great Depression -1937 crash as a continuation of Great Depression -1973 crash - oil crisis -2008 - GFC - NOW PS : DJI/GOLD has passed this level in 1Q25 and not recovered. 4 days left to close (3M) candle.https://x.com/Analyst_G/status/21032219663544895030.00502026-09-25T05:59:26.305397+00:002x.commarketfinancecrisis1396https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HTAky31WcAAEXSH?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-25T05:59:26.564379+00:001575https://www.linkedin.com/in/tuli-nate-urbach-5a558b91/Tuli (Nate) UrbachWe've never in almost 100 years seen breadth this bad.The S&P $SPY is knocking on new highs but there are (many) more stocks at lows than highs.The percentage of stocks in long-term uptrends is plunging.The only remotely similar setups were January 1973 and November 1999.Source: Jason Goepfert on xhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00502026-09-24T15:39:31.833966+00:001linkedin.commarketstocksfinance1375https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQGPIHFckjSDdg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4DaDSZ6.zHsAg-/0/1790236406125?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=Ky0BGid7Z2tMVQ5uqNpvrZHdoZ_8wskuAjOK87OYIaMView image2026-09-24T15:39:32.664903+00:001574https://www.linkedin.com/in/sagar-singh-setia/Sagar Singh SetiaNothing Stops This Train!What can possibly go wrong?The global bond market is on fire, and we are approaching a stage where higher yields will hurt economic activity. The yields are breaking out as markets defeat "the house", and record diesel prices (equivalent to $230/b oil) threaten to stall the economy and raise inflation.The macros are deteriorating, and we need urgent resolution of the Middle East war and an end to the refining crisis to avert a global financial disaster. Furthermore, we believe that as hyperscalers go max to raise funds, a higher cost of capital may eventually lead to lower returns on capital. What a grand mess!https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00702026-09-24T15:37:06.883131+00:001linkedin.comglobal-marketfinanceeconomy1374https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQFSlY3qdV0Xyg/feedshare-shrink_160/B4DaDTca9xGsAk-/0/1790253838674?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=YGz5Ky3NJc_SAU64eXdZ-IlImeexKRHyZuP1_V6Sr7IView image2026-09-24T15:37:07.402611+00:001569@RealEJAntoniE.J. Antoni, Ph.D.There are 40.1 trillion reasons why yields are at 5%...https://x.com/RealEJAntoni/status/21028579579353948420.00402026-09-24T12:33:04.424755+00:002x.comeconomicsfinanceyields1369https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS7aFTyX0AAeWba?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-24T12:33:06.087647+00:001565@BrownmooseMoose$MCD Lost 27% from its 2026 high. Is McDonald a dying company?https://x.com/Brownmoose/status/21027574868645196200.00402026-09-24T09:21:48.107419+00:002x.comstocksmcdfinance1364https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS5-qh7XwAA0olp?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-24T09:21:48.602963+00:001560https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterBREAKING: Global physical gold-backed ETFs attracted +27.1 tonnes in inflows last week, the 3rd largest weekly inflow since January.Demand was driven by the US, at +15.9 tonnes, followed by Europe and Asia, at +6.5 tonnes and +4.6 tonnes, respectively.In Dollar terms, investors bought +$3.9 billion, the 4th-largest weekly inflow since February.This also marks the 11th consecutive weekly inflow.Over this period, global gold ETFs have attracted +208.3 tonnes in inflows, bringing total gold ETF holdings to a record 4,250 tonnes.Demand for gold ETFs remains remarkably strong.https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/0.00502026-09-24T09:17:01.520234+00:001linkedin.comgold-etfsfinanceinflows1358https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQGzkRRpFPa_rw/feedshare-shrink_800/B4DaDKGzYxGUAg-/0/1790097176368?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=YI25-T-2nf_V4-xtMT11Kdjq1eUcIUwwLf3HoYjbwb4View image2026-09-24T09:17:03.010553+00:001532https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIAThe extra yield France has to pay over Germany on 10-year debt is going vertical.Source: Bloomberghttps://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/0.00352026-09-24T06:46:56.321073+00:001linkedin.comyieldfinancedebt1341https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQEdda0y9xmP7w/feedshare-shrink_160/B4EaDR3TtYIEAk-/0/1790227332410?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=juTDA5KlnhELWjXW3AmdRgZeao1pELFsW6XeoCG8WQ4View image2026-09-24T06:46:58.306082+00:001503https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterThe US 10Y Note Yield is now moving in a literal straight-line higher, up to 5.13%.This is no longer an issue that we have months or years to address.This is unsustainable.https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-09-23T19:50:27.724482+00:001linkedin.comeconomicsfinanceus10y-note-yield1319https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQFKMvff3Cylyg/feedshare-shrink_160/B4DaDPkJupHsAo-/0/1790188756346?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=XINS0G125gz4JgBweym1tCh2DkDoGQlzM02xprilxwUView image2026-09-23T19:50:30.373991+00:001491https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterBREAKING: The US 10Y Note Yield rises to 5.05%, its highest level since July 2007.That's a total of +113 basis points from the low seen in March.Mortgage rates are pushing toward 7.50%.https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-09-23T16:08:32.158122+00:001linkedin.commarketsfinanceeconomy1309https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQHDba--yBuCJA/feedshare-shrink_160/B4DaDOsx9eJoAk-/0/1790174240846?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=xBLZ3D77v195Io2ERJ3euiZ7TKa3JH9Ky3_XQuRacrUView image2026-09-23T16:08:33.744242+00:001482https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIADespite rising yields, Japan’s net interest payments as a share of GDP are projected to remain among the lowest in the OECD in 2027. Source: Japan Economy Watch(((The Daily Shot)))@SoberLookhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/0.00602026-09-23T15:47:41.916488+00:001linkedin.comfinancejapaneconomy1303IMAGE/media/content/1482/image.pngimage.pngpng2026-09-23T15:48:00.448300+00:001458@C_BarraudChristophe Barraud🇺🇸 Here’s What’s Happening to the Billions of Dollars of US Tariff Refunds - Bloomberg https://bloomberg.com/news/newslette…https://x.com/C_Barraud/status/21026409773371110260.00402026-09-23T09:17:23.035409+00:002x.comtariffsfinancenews1283https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS4Ux1UXQAAMuYY?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-23T09:17:23.293121+00:001436https://www.linkedin.com/in/jakob-riemann-cfe-40008b13a/Jakob Riemann, CFEFund Management and Leading Financial Expert 雅各布·里曼是一位天才，被公认为其时代最伟大的人物. THE U.S. IS TAKING A MUCH BIGGER GAMBLE WITH ITS DEBT.Wall Street’s biggest banks now expect around $1 trillion of new short-term T-bill issuance over the next year.That could push T-bills to nearly 25% of all marketable U.S. debt.The reason is simple:Long-term borrowing is expensive.10-year and 30-year yields are around 5%, so the Treasury is leaning harder on short-term debt instead.But this makes the system much more fragile.T-bills mature fast, so the government has to keep rolling huge amounts of debt over again and again.If rates stay high, refinancing costs can rise rapidly.And with U.S. debt already above $40 trillion and annual interest costs above $1 trillion, the margin for error is very little.Source: The Macro Paperhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/jakob-riemann-cfe-40008b13a/0.00602026-09-23T07:21:00.770987+00:001linkedin.comeconomyfinancedebt1256https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQHtPQfzbSb4Dg/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaDKudJqKcAk-/0/1790107571056?e=1792022400&v=beta&t=hwcUszUWHiy22EjJVHutTBIcCKiEw5Lnq12_ZF-PtMcView image2026-09-23T07:21:01.744782+00:001423Soaring bond yields, gaping deficits and towering debts: what could go wrong?https://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/09/16/soaring-bond-yields-gaping-deficits-and-towering-debts-what-could-go-wrong0.00502026-09-23T06:42:29.746907+00:0029economist.comeconomicsfinance1243https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1424,quality=80,format=auto/content-assets/images/20260919_FND001.jpgThe globe with a huge ball and chain attached2026-09-23T06:42:30.023889+00:001422Finance & economicshttps://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/09/22/data-centres-are-straining-the-insurance-market0.00402026-09-23T06:42:13.892903+00:0029economist.comeconomicsfinance1242https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1424,quality=80,format=auto/content-assets/images/20260926_FNP501.jpg2026-09-23T06:42:14.855705+00:001420It’s hard to price the threats posed by a misaligned superintelligencehttps://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/09/22/you-cant-trade-your-way-through-the-ai-apocalypse0.00502026-09-23T06:41:30.278033+00:0029economist.comeconomicsaifinance1240https://www.economist.com/cdn-cgi/image/width=1424,quality=80,format=auto/content-assets/images/20260926_FND001.jpgA big robot about to hit a person holding a paper to sign with a hammer2026-09-23T06:41:31.386477+00:001408@puckrinNicThe Yen carry trade unwind is a real risk. Between late 2021 & March this year, outstanding cross-border yen borrowing by institutions has climbed 67%! This shows that there was a substantial buildup in Yen leverage - the largest in 30 years. As Yen rates continue surging, the risk piles up.https://x.com/puckrin/status/21026314911299913050.00402026-09-23T05:38:28.406128+00:002x.comleverageyenfinance1231https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HS4LY4JaYAAJtoh?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-23T05:38:28.782120+00:001329https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIAWhen the 10-year yield trades with a 5-handle, equity market returns are among the worst of any rangeSource: Bespokehttps://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/0.00602026-09-22T05:07:19.857006+00:001linkedin.commarketsinvestmentfinance1167https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQHqRSrQNpRxcQ/feedshare-shrink_1280/B4EaCzE3.RHAAQ-/0/1789710794928?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=25Zh_42NRk95rTrgDMpgG2rfNUHaO1QZWEc25i7_-CEView image2026-09-22T05:07:20.109320+00:001310https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterBREAKING: Global equity funds posted -$23.2 billion in outflows in the week ending September 16th, their largest weekly outflow in 9 months.This follows -$21.8 billion in the prior week, bringing the 2-week outflow to -$45.0 billion.The outflows were driven by US funds, which saw -$31.4 billion in withdrawals, marking their 4th consecutive weekly outflow.At the same time, European funds posted -$295 million in outflows, while Asia attracted +$6.3 billion in inflows.Despite these massive outflows, technology funds still recorded +$1.9 billion in inflows, posting their 10th weekly inflow over the last 12 weeks.Investors are taking profits everywhere except tech.https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00702026-09-21T11:47:26.743726+00:001linkedin.commarketsequityfinance1155https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4D22AQFEqnDnyyqmpA/feedshare-shrink_160/B4DaDAiHQ4JoAk-/0/1789936563517?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=oFbWuCIlvFRO06e54ovMWgq1FL7AJ9MI9KIAz9gOQV8View image2026-09-21T11:47:27.196048+00:001279@SchuldensuehnerHolger Zschaepitz“Risk-free” can be painfully expensive. US 10y Treasuries have suffered their worst 5y nominal returns in over 120yrs, Goldman shows. Inflation made the losses even uglier. The twist: after this historic rout, yields are merely back near their long-run average.https://x.com/Schuldensuehner/status/21016069905018516390.00402026-09-20T20:02:45.636280+00:002x.comus-treasuriesfinanceinflation1128https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSpoR1MXAAEC4cg?format=jpg&name=smallImage2026-09-20T20:02:45.933248+00:001220Finance & economics. 6 min readhttps://www.economist.com/finance-and-economics/2026/09/04/the-jobs-apocalypse-is-postponed-an-ai-jobs-boom-is-here0.00402026-09-20T12:25:17.536257+00:0029economist.comeconomicsaifinance1146https://www.linkedin.com/company/the-kobeissi-letter/The Kobeissi LetterBREAKING: Foreign holdings of US Treasuries fell -$50 billion in July, to $9.25 trillion, the lowest total since October 2025.Foreign holdings reflect net purchases or sales as well as bond valuation changes.This marks the 4th monthly decline over the last 5 months, totaling -$239 billion.Japan, the largest foreign holder, trimmed its holdings by -$13 billion in July, to $1.11 trillion, its lowest since January 2025.Meanwhile, China, the 3rd-largest holder, reduced its holdings by -$15 billion, to $618 billion, its lowest level since August 2008.Foreign demand for US Treasuries remains fragile.https://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00502026-09-20T05:17:59.732374+00:001linkedin.commarketsfinanceeconomy974https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQHCptO3cE5j6Q/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaC8LoPCJQAc-/0/1789863560396?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=nXmXPlks0A_haQWLa3Q1R6pK_6CxPevelEaR2Qj59ZsView image2026-09-20T05:18:00.157647+00:001145https://www.linkedin.com/in/jonathanroig/Jonathan R.THIS IS REALLY SHOCKING.In September, US long-term yields hit their highest level in 19 years.The Fed did a rate hike for the first time in 3 years and is projected to do another one.Oil reached $106, the mortgage rate went above 7%, and US diesel prices hit a new all-time high.And still, the VIX is below 15 and sitting at almost the yearly low, as there's no fear left in the market.Either the market thinks all these bad things are temporary or there's too much greed and most people are about to learn a painful lesson.Source: The Macro Paperhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00602026-09-20T05:15:15.814977+00:001linkedin.commarketratesfinance1122https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIABREAKING: *FRANCE'S CREDIT RATING DOWNGRADED TO A+ FROM AA- AT SCOPE#Franceke keeps sliding down the credit ladder. Scope cuts its rating to A+ from AA-, while DBRS turns negative on its AA outlook. The 10y yield premium over Germany tops 100bps for the first time in 14 years. Political paralysis is getting expensive. Source: HolgerZ via BBGhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00702026-09-19T13:15:29.454744+00:001linkedin.comcredit-ratingfrancefinance959https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQFrj6YWCUyY5Q/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaC47uy1IYAc-/0/1789809061653?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=_FG33qcz_Pmt3TsiSEVDuE7RWMrQfiZF5Nkb64FCkRcView image2026-09-19T13:15:30.878650+00:001106https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIATurkey’s stock market is facing far more than a normal correction. The BIST plunged more than 8% this week after a fund manager admitted it could not meet investor redemptions—triggering panic across the industry. Regulators have now frozen and ordered the liquidation of 131 funds worth ₺890 billion ($18.3 billion), affecting roughly 350,000 investors. Several asset managers are accused of using “Ponzi-like” tactics: buying illiquid shares in related companies, inflating valuations and attracting retail investors with seemingly extraordinary returns. When withdrawals reportedly reached $1 billion in a single day, authorities stepped in aggressively: • Margin requirements were cut from 35% to 20% • The sovereign wealth fund began buying blue-chip stocks • Two major banks were tasked with liquidating the frozen funds But intervention can stabilize prices—not validate valuations. The central question remains unanswered: What are these assets actually worth? Meanwhile, the lira is hitting record lows and Turkey’s 10-year bond yield remains above 32%. Stocks, bonds and the currency are now under pressure simultaneously. This is no longer just a market sell-off. It is a full-scale test of confidence in Turkey’s financial system. Source: Bull Theoryhttps://www.linkedin.com/feed/0.00702026-09-19T11:53:37.094862+00:001linkedin.comturkeyfinancestock-market924https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQFAhuH9haxWfQ/feedshare-shrink_800/B4EaC4607pIYAc-/0/1789808824441?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=0y6-BU7yGoSMqbDI5vKajA370uhgWRXknAmceEyufeQView image2026-09-19T11:53:37.362692+00:001071@DarioCpxJustDarioTranslated from Japanese #JustDarioDaily ⚠️ A PEEK INTO THE FUTURE: $USD / $JPY ROAD TO 300 ⚠️ Sadly, Japan is heading toward a very harsh future 🤷🏻‍♀️ Article 👇🏻 https://justdario.com/2024/06/a-peek-into-the-future-usd-jpy-road-to-300/https://x.com/DarioCpx/status/202406242323260.00702026-09-18T16:25:12.244580+00:002x.comjapanjustdariodailyfinance898https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/26a0.svg⚠️2026-09-18T16:25:12.528968+00:00899https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/26a0.svg⚠️2026-09-18T16:25:12.606296+00:00900https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f937-1f3fb-200d-2640-fe0f.svg🤷🏻‍♀️2026-09-18T16:25:12.655348+00:00901https://abs.twimg.com/emoji/v2/svg/1f447-1f3fb.svg👇🏻2026-09-18T16:25:12.690849+00:001058https://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/Charles-Henry Monchau, CFA, CMT, CAIA🚨The Turkish lira hit a new all time low against USD almost daily over past year, 219 out of 260 trading days.Source: Bull Theoryhttps://www.linkedin.com/in/charles-henry-monchau-cfa-cmt-caia-4003096/0.00502026-09-18T16:17:39.342485+00:001linkedin.combull-theoryturkish-lirafinance887https://media.licdn.com/dms/image/v2/D4E22AQFF-6Nj-r5ZPg/feedshare-shrink_480/B4EaCxPiaFIIAg-/0/1789680035862?e=1791417600&v=beta&t=_idQlDnc_NYnJYBhpJtr6EYJ2r74i7zW-EQvLbmWQhgView image2026-09-18T16:17:40.323171+00:001057@caseyjdonaldsonCasey DonaldsonJ.P. MORGAN TELLS THE WORLD THE OIL MARKET HAS NO CLEAR ENDGAME J.P. Morgan says the quiet part out loud, the world has no idea how the oil situation will end. If the most trustworthy bank in America can model the outcome, no one can. This gets worse before it gets better.https://x.com/caseyjdonaldson/status/21009746285376021140.00402026-09-18T16:13:03.090264+00:002x.commarketoilfinance886https://pbs.twimg.com/media/HSgP38tX0AAvYnQ?format=png&name=smallImage2026-09-18T16:13:03.326119+00:00